Florida inches closer to SEC crown, as Gators host Gamecocks

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/21/2007 - Gainesville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The third-ranked Florida Gators have been knocked off their perch atop the college basketball world, at least temporarily, but they continue to rule the SEC and are heavy favorites in tonight's matchup with the South Carolina Gamecocks.

South Carolina carried a five-game skid into Saturday's home game against Tennessee, but the result was a thrilling 81-64 victory. The Gamecocks are a game over .500 overall, but their 3-9 league mark leaves much to be desired.

Florida was a perfect 11-0 in SEC play heading into Saturday's road clash with a strong Vanderbilt squad, and the Commodores scored an 83-70 upset victory in that tilt. Still, the Gators are steamrolling toward a regular season league title and are a perfect 16-0 at home.

Also, keep in mind that Florida crushed South Carolina by an 84-50 final back on January 13th, and the Gators own a 31-19 advantage in the all-time series between the teams.

South Carolina guard Tre' Kelley is one of the better players in the SEC, but he doesn't receive a great deal of attention because of the struggles of his team. Despite facing constant double teams, Kelley is averaging 18.3 ppg to rank among the league leaders. He is also dishing out five assists per contest and gives maximum effort every time he takes the floor. Unfortunately, only one other player in the lineup is scoring in double figures, as Brandon Wallace checks in with 10.3 ppg and 9.6 rpg. USC is netting a modest 64.9 ppg on 42.4 percent overall shooting, and the lack of offensive production has resulted in the poor record. Kelley scored 25 points against Tennessee and actually got plenty of support from his teammates for a change in Saturday's win. The Gamecocks shot 53.7 percent from the floor and limited the Vols to 38.2 percent.

After winning the national championship last season, all five starters for Florida decided to return to school rather than give in to the lure of NBA riches. All five standouts are averaging double figures in scoring this season, as the Gators may be the nation's most unselfish team. Taurean Green paces the club with 13.6 ppg on the strength of his 42.2 percent shooting from three-point range, and he has dished out 96 assists. Corey Brewer checks in with 13.0 ppg, and Joakim Noah adds 12.7 ppg, 8.0 rpg and 47 blocks. Al Horford is contributing 12.6 ppg and 8.8 rpg, while Lee Humphrey rounds out the group with 10.2 ppg on 47.4 percent accuracy from behind the arc. The Gators are racking up 81.0 ppg while limiting opponents to 61.0 ppg. Noah scored 15 points to pace Florida in the loss to Vandy, but the freakishly athletic forward only took five shots from the floor and needs to be a bit more assertive at the offensive end. Poor defense led to the defeat, as the Gators permitted the Commodores to shoot 57.1 percent from the field.

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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.